Is the World's Next Major War About to Happen...?

Pakistan and India could be on the brink of war.

A war that, if fully embarked on, could have dire repercussions globally. The last time the two countries were this close to war was in 2019: a series of somewhat baffling events that I covered here in this much longer piece.

A terrorist attack on Tuesday in the town of Pahalgam (in Indian-controlled Kashmir) was the inciting incident this time. 26 people were killed.

India’s response – and Prime Minister Narendra Modi‘s bellicose language – have been severe, leading to both countries openly talking about war.

A ‘previously unknown’ militant group calling itself the Resistance Front claimed responsibility for the attack, which India immediately linked to Pakistan.

The Indian authorities did not produce any evidence, however, to demonstrate this link. And Pakistan denies involvement.

Further, Pakistan’s Defence Minister called the Pahalgam attack a ‘false flag operation’ staged by India.

It’s almost impossible to ascertain who’s telling the truth. Both governments have engaged in frequent subterfuge against each other over the years: and constant propaganda and counter propaganda.

This current incident is similar to the 2019 crisis: in that scenario, a terror attack occurred, this one in Pulwama, Kashmir. The Indians blamed Pakistan, Pakistan said it was a false flag. India then carried out an airstrike inside Pakistan, claiming to have targeted a terrorist camp, which later turned out to not be a terrorist camp at all.

It was all very strange: again, I examined it here at the time.

Pakistan has a history of supporting terrorist groups. But India has a history of manipulation.

The corrupt government in India is increasingly a fascist-style entity engaged in ethno-nationalism and religious supremacism.

Meanwhile the corrupt Pakistani state is controlled by famously ruthless conspirators in the military and intelligence community, who currently have the country’s democratically elected Prime Minister (Imran Khan) in prison for fourteen years and a corrupt puppet leader in office.

Neither side is exactly trustworthy or laudable.

But some background to the Kashmir situation is helpful.

The situation in the Kashmir region is a leftover problem from British Colonial times. During the partitioning of India and Pakistan, Kashmir was divided into respective zones controlled by each country.

Stupidly, a majority Muslim population was left inside India’s area of control instead of becoming part of Islamic Pakistan. Whether this was a case of Imperial incompetence or post-Colonial maliciousness is anyone’s guess.

But the tensions in Kashmir have remained a permanent source of conflict ever since.

To bring us up to speed here, since 2019 Modi’s government has implemented a harsh ‘security crackdown’ in the region, having revoked its autonomous status.

Moreover, there is a belief that Modi’s government is trying to vastly alter the demographic make-up of the area.

New rules were implemented that allowed outsiders to buy land in Kashmir for the first time, which some saw as an attempt by the Bharatiya Janata party (BJP) to dispossess Muslim Kashmiris from their land.

This apparent strategy is not dissimilar to Zionist settler policies in the Palestinian West Bank: moving in foreign settlers to replace the native population. The comparisons – and links – between Zionist Israelis and the Modi-led Hindu nationalists in India don’t stop there: but that’s a whole separate article I’ve been working on.

By the way, India has been sending weapons to Israel for its Gaza campaign. And India is also a massive recipient of Israeli arms and military equipment.

In my 2019 article, I noted the Jerusalem Post publish this article as soon as the flare-up between India and Pakistan happened, noting the ‘key role’ Israel would play in terms of supplying India with weapons and military hardware. ‘With New Delhi seeking to modernize its armed forces, at a cost of hundreds of billions, Israel is well placed to play a key role…‘

The same article further told us, ‘By 2017, India represented up to 49% of Israel’s arms export market, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research arms transfer report.’

But coming back to the Indian operations in the territory (which could be viewed as early stages of an ethnic cleansing plan), even the organisation claimed to be behind Tuesday’s attack, ‘The Resistance Front’, has supposedly cited in a social media statement that the act was provoked by the more than 85,000 “outsiders” that have been settled in the region.

Whether the attack on Tuesday was exactly what India claims it was, or whether it was a staged operation as Pakistan claims is unclear.

Either way, it appears to have two nuclear powers on the brink of war. It might also be a conflict that, depending on how far it escalates, could drag in China.

Michael Mills, a researcher at the US National Center for Atmospheric Research, helped model the outcome of an Indian-Pakistani nuclear war in a 2014 study, in which he talked about the likely widespread effects that would go beyond the two nations. ‘In that scenario,’ Business Insider explained, in a 2019 article, ‘each country exchanges 50 weapons — less than half of their arsenals. Each of those weapons are capable of triggering a Hiroshima-size explosion…’

An interview Pakistan’s Defense Minister gave to Sky News makes it clear how serious this current fallout is.

Among several serious measures taken by both countries, India’s decision to suspend the 1964 Indus Waters treaty has been declared by Pakistan as an “act of war”. The treaty, which has stood for decades, ensured shared access to a crucial water source, considered vital to Pakistan’s agriculture and economy.

Even during previous times of conflict, the internationally brokered water agreement has remained intact. India’s move is highly significant.

The last time in 2019, Pakistan’s elected leader Imran Khan was there to de-escalate the situation and offer a cool headed counter balance to Modi’s hawkish nationalistic mania. But Khan is now in jail, the victim of a politically motivated conspiracy by the Pakistani Deep State to nullify both him and his movement (according to some, with the collusion of Washington DC in the first instance: see here).

It’s also worth remembering that, during the 2019 tension, it was really Modi who was blamed by most neutral observers for creating and escalating the situation. Andrew Korybko, an American Moscow-based political analyst, wrote at the time, for example: ‘India will do its utmost to distract the masses by making it seem like… a “terrorist conspiracy” carried out by the Pakistani state as an “act of war” against it even though this event was entirely executed by a local born-and-raised Kashmiri who was driven into desperation by the occupation forces’ abuses against his people…’

What I wrote in 2019 is still entirely true now: ‘If ever there was a geo-political situation that seemed ultimately hopeless and perhaps destined to one day go very badly, it might be the relationship between India and Pakistan.’

It’s worth reiterating again that this conflict between Pakistan and India is – just like the situation in Israel and the Middle East – a remnant of British Imperialist legacy.

We seem to have left behind the seeds of war and conflict all over the world: and watched as they’ve grown.

Again, whether that was by malicious design or just incompetence, is a matter of opinion.